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Robin Hanson

Portrait of Robin Hanson

Robin Hanson is an economist and researcher known for his work on topics ranging from prediction markets and signaling theory to the potential societal impacts of future technologies, particularly artificial intelligence. His work often involves applying economic principles to understand and forecast long-term trends in growth and technological development. He is known for taking a 'big picture’ approach to history, studying the history of the human economy over long timescales.

Hanson’s presentations often explore the possibility of dramatic future economic transformations driven by advances in AI and automation. He examines historical patterns of exponential growth, suggesting that the rate of growth is accelerating, and that this acceleration could lead to massive changes in the economy. He believes artificial intelligence represents a major possibility.

He was formerly an AI researcher and asks AI researchers about how far we have come in the last 20 years. His analyses provoke discussions about the future of work, the nature of intelligence, and the potential consequences of technological singularity.

Videos by Robin Hanson

The Age of Em: Work, Love and Life when Robots Rule the Earth
53:59

Robin Hanson

The Age of Em: Work, Love and Life when Robots Rule the Earth

2017.04.20

Robin Hanson, economist and futurist, explores what happens when brain emulations—digital copies of human minds—become economically viable. Drawing on standard economic theory, he predicts that "ems" would live in vast virtual cities, work at subsistence wages due to easy copying, and experience time at speeds up to a thousand times faster than humans. Hanson argues this scenario could trigger the next major economic transition, with the economy potentially doubling every month. He examines how ems would form "clans" of copies, adopt farmer-era religious attitudes, and create a class hierarchy based on processing speed—while retired humans live off rapidly growing capital investments.